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Essential Statistics, Regression, and Econometrics

Essential Statistics, Regression, and Econometrics provides students with a readable, deep understanding of the key statistical topics they need to understand in an econometrics co… Read more

Description

Essential Statistics, Regression, and Econometrics provides students with a readable, deep understanding of the key statistical topics they need to understand in an econometrics course. It is innovative in its focus, including real data, pitfalls in data analysis, and modeling issues (including functional forms, causality, and instrumental variables). This book is unusually readable and non-intimidating, with extensive word problems that emphasize intuition and understanding. Exercises range from easy to challenging and the examples are substantial and real, to help the students remember the technique better.

Key features

  • Readable exposition and exceptional exercises/examples that students can relate to
  • Focuses on key methods for econometrics students without including unnecessary topics
  • Covers data analysis not covered in other texts
  • Ideal presentation of material (topic order) for econometrics course

Readership

Essential Statistics, Regression, and Econometrics is for an introductory non-calculus based statistics course offered in business/finance/psychology departments for undergraduate students of any major who take a term course in basic Statistics or a year course in Probability and Statistics.

Table of contents

Introduction

Chapter 1. Data, Data, Data

1.1 Measurements

1.2 Testing Models

1.3 Making Predictions

1.4 Numerical and Categorical Data

1.5 Cross-Sectional Data

1.6 Time Series Data

1.7 Longitudinal (or Panel) Data

1.8 Index Numbers (Optional)

1.9 Deflated Data

Chapter 2. Displaying Data

2.1 Bar Charts

2.2 Histograms

2.3 Time Series Graphs

2.4 Scatterplots

2.5 Graphs: Good, Bad, and Ugly

Chapter 3. Descriptive Statistics

3.1 Mean

3.2 Median

3.3 Standard Deviation

3.4 Boxplots

3.5 Growth Rates

3.6 Correlation

Chapter 4. Probability

4.1 Describing Uncertainty

4.2 Some Helpful Rules

4.3 Probability Distributions

Chapter 5. Sampling

5.1 Populations and Samples

5.2 The Power of Random Sampling

5.3 A Study of the Break-Even Effect

5.4 Biased Samples

5.5 Observational Data versus Experimental Data

Chapter 6. Estimation

6.1 Estimating the Population Mean

6.2 Sampling Error

6.3 The Sampling Distribution of the Sample Mean

6.4 The t Distribution

6.5 Confidence Intervals Using the t Distribution

Chapter 7. Hypothesis Testing

7.1 Proof by Statistical Contradiction

7.2 The Null Hypothesis

7.3 P Values

7.4 Confidence Intervals

7.5 Matched-Pair Data

7.6 Practical Importance versus Statistical Significance

7.7 Data Grubbing

Chapter 8. Simple Regression

8.1 The Regression Model

8.2 Least Squares Estimation

8.3 Confidence Intervals

8.4 Hypothesis Tests

8.5 R2

8.6 Using Regression Analysis

8.7 Prediction Intervals (Optional)

Chapter 9. The Art of Regression Analysis

9.1 Regression Pitfalls

9.2 Regression Diagnostics (Optional)

Chapter 10. Multiple Regression

10.1 The Multiple Regression Model

10.2 Least Squares Estimation

10.3 Multicollinearity

Chapter 11. Modeling (Optional)

11.1 Causality

11.2 Linear Models

11.3 Polynomial Models

11.4 Power Functions

11.5 Logarithmic Models

11.6 Growth Models

11.7 Autoregressive Models

Appendix

References

Index

Review quotes

"This book is written focusing on an introductory statistics course aiming to help students in developing the statistical reasoning they need to follow at a later stage a regression analysis or econometrics course. Within its eleven chapters...the emphasis is placed on statistical reasoning, real data, pitfalls in data analysis and modelling issues, as well as on hundreds of extensive examples and real world case studies which demonstrate in an excellent way the power, elegance and beauty of statistical reasoning."—Zentralblatt MATH 2012-1234-62003

"This is an introductory statistics textbook intended for use in either a statistics class that precedes a regression class or a one-term class that encompasses statistics and regression analysis. Complaining of the "fire hose pedagogy"of many introductory statistics courses, Smith (Pomona College) has chosen a focused approach that is intended to provide students with an understanding of the statistical reasoning that is needed for regression analysis. He therefore emphasizes statistical reasoning, real data, pitfalls in data analysis, modeling issues, and word problems."—SciTech Book News

Product details

About the author

GS

Gary Smith

Gary Smith received his Ph.D. in Economics from Yale University and was an Assistant Professor there for seven years. He has won two teaching awards and written (or co-authored) more than 100 academic papers and 20 books. His Standard Deviations: Flawed Assumptions, Tortured Data, and Other Ways to Lie with Statistics (Overlook/Duckworth, 2015) was a London Times Book of the Week and has been translated into Chinese, Japanese, Korean, and Turkish. The AI Delusion (Oxford University Press, 2018) argues that, in this age of Big Data, the real danger is not that computers are smarter than us, but that we think computers are smarter than us and, so, trust computers to make important decisions they should not be trusted to make. The 9 Pitfalls of Data Science (Oxford University Press, 2019, co-authored with Jay Cordes), won the PROSE award for Excellence in Popular Science & Popular Mathematics. His statistical and financial research has been featured in various media, including The New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Wired, NPR Tech Nation, NBC Bay Area, CNBC, WYNC, WBBR Bloomberg Radio, NBC Think, Silicon Valley Insider, Motley Fool, Scientific American, Forbes, MarketWatch, MoneyCentral.msn, NewsWeek, Fast Company, The Economist, MindMatters, OZY, Slate, and BusinessWeek.

Affiliations and expertise
Fletcher Jones Professor, Department of Economics, Pomona College, Claremont, CA, USA

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